AI Pulse
📄 论文解读

最强AI炒股,跑不赢大盘

让 AI 完整走一遍量化研究:提出假设、写代码、回测、冻结策略,再用没见过的 2024 年数据验收。九个前沿模型里 GPT-6 Astra 得分最高,但没有任何一个跑赢等权市场。它不是你明天能用来赚钱的东西,但这是第一次有人把「AI 能不能独立做研究」这件事,放到真实市场里用真金白银的规则检验。

📄 原文摘要(英文)

Quantitative research is an iterative loop: a researcher proposes a market hypothesis, implements it as an executable signal, tests it on historical data, and decides what to keep. Existing benchmarks score formulas, code, or individual trading decisions, leaving open whether large language models (LLMs) can complete this loop and produce strategies that work beyond the research period. We introduce Quant-Arena, a benchmark and public leaderboard for end-to-end quantitative research on real A-share market data. A model constructs features and stock-scoring code, receives feedback only on 2022--2023, and freezes one strategy for assessment on the sealed year 2024. A cash-account evaluator applies trading constraints and costs, including market impact estimated from a simulated order book. Scores are dominated by realized excess return and complemented by signal quality and the diversity of features used by the strategy. We evaluate nine frontier models, among which GPT-6 Astra scores highest; yet no model beats the equal-weight market in 2024. Quant-Arena is open to submissions from any model or agent harness.

arXiv 原文

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